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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.85+5.89vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.19+6.97vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.20+2.72vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+2.67vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.01+4.76vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.21-0.27vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.38-1.77vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.62-0.26vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.76-1.83vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire1.74+0.67vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.70-3.49vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.56-7.15vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.66-1.97vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-3.90vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.22-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.89Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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8.97University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
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5.72Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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9.76Boston University2.010.0%1st Place
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5.73Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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5.23Tufts University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.74Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.17University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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10.67University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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7.51Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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4.85Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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11.03Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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10.1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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11.95Salve Regina University1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Dumke | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Benjamin Craig | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 4.8% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
| Joseph Benoit | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 9.4% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| James Beatty | 13.7% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Brendan Read | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| James Amaral | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 15.4% |
| Quinn Andersen | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.2% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 13.1% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kurran Singh | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 16.3% | 19.1% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 10.1% |
| Bayard Lalor | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 16.6% | 33.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.