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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.38+4.15vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.19+6.96vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.56+1.58vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.70+3.33vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.85+2.02vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.66+4.87vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.21-1.27vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+2.09vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.01+0.70vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.76-2.70vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-4.33vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.62-4.00vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.20-6.98vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.74-3.41vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.22-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.15Tufts University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.96University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
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4.58Bowdoin College3.560.2%1st Place
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7.33Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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7.02Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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10.87Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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5.73Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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9.7Boston University2.010.0%1st Place
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7.3University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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6.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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8.0Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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6.02Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.59University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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11.98Salve Regina University1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Beatty | 13.5% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Craig | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 16.8% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Andersen | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Henry Dumke | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Kurran Singh | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 16.7% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 11.6% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 13.1% |
| Joseph Benoit | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 6.6% |
| Brendan Read | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 7.5% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 1.9% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| James Amaral | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 16.1% |
| Bayard Lalor | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 15.8% | 35.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.