Race 10B

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Henry Dumke 8.3% 6.8% 9.6% 7.0% 8.3% 8.4% 9.1% 7.4% 7.7% 7.6% 7.2% 4.4% 4.0% 3.1% 1.1%
James Beatty 12.7% 14.6% 11.4% 10.9% 9.5% 8.6% 8.4% 7.4% 5.4% 4.0% 3.2% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Cutter O'Connell 8.0% 8.1% 9.9% 8.3% 8.4% 9.0% 7.5% 9.2% 7.4% 8.4% 6.3% 4.9% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5%
A. Tucker Atterbury 5.7% 5.7% 6.9% 6.4% 8.6% 7.2% 7.6% 6.9% 7.6% 8.6% 9.1% 7.6% 5.7% 4.5% 1.9%
Nicholas Karnovsky 11.6% 10.5% 8.0% 9.7% 9.0% 9.4% 9.0% 9.1% 6.4% 5.5% 4.7% 3.6% 2.0% 1.5% 0.0%
Jeffrey Adam 2.4% 3.1% 3.0% 3.8% 4.0% 4.5% 3.6% 5.8% 6.8% 7.3% 8.6% 10.7% 13.3% 12.2% 10.9%
Benjamin Craig 4.2% 4.5% 3.4% 4.3% 5.4% 5.7% 4.6% 6.2% 9.4% 8.5% 9.1% 11.7% 7.8% 9.0% 6.2%
Quinn Andersen 7.5% 5.6% 8.0% 5.8% 7.4% 6.8% 9.3% 7.3% 7.2% 9.4% 8.9% 6.5% 5.4% 3.1% 1.8%
Hugh MacGillivray 10.5% 10.5% 10.9% 11.1% 9.1% 8.7% 9.3% 8.6% 6.1% 6.7% 3.5% 2.6% 1.3% 1.0% 0.1%
Matthew Kaplan 14.0% 13.6% 13.4% 12.8% 9.1% 9.8% 6.7% 7.5% 4.7% 3.1% 3.1% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Brendan Read 6.3% 8.0% 6.5% 8.1% 7.6% 7.0% 8.3% 8.1% 8.3% 7.0% 6.4% 7.9% 6.1% 3.0% 1.4%
Joseph Benoit 2.9% 2.3% 2.4% 3.8% 4.3% 4.8% 6.0% 5.9% 6.2% 9.5% 7.4% 10.3% 12.3% 11.7% 10.2%
Kurran Singh 2.0% 2.3% 2.4% 2.8% 4.0% 3.4% 3.0% 3.8% 5.4% 4.9% 7.5% 10.5% 12.3% 16.6% 19.1%
Bayard Lalor 1.4% 1.3% 1.0% 2.6% 2.1% 2.7% 3.1% 2.9% 5.0% 4.1% 6.7% 6.5% 12.3% 15.9% 32.4%
James Amaral 2.5% 3.1% 3.2% 2.6% 3.2% 4.0% 4.5% 3.9% 6.4% 5.4% 8.3% 9.4% 13.0% 16.2% 14.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.