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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.62+1.95vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.67+2.71vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.07+0.87vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy1.32+1.11vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-0.31vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.70-3.25vs Predicted
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7Bentley University0.50-0.38vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.62+0.64vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.05-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95Bowdoin College2.620.3%1st Place
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4.71Harvard University1.670.1%1st Place
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3.87Brown University2.070.1%1st Place
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5.11Maine Maritime Academy1.320.1%1st Place
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4.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.1%1st Place
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2.75Tufts University2.700.3%1st Place
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6.62Bentley University0.500.0%1st Place
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8.64University of New Hampshire-1.620.0%1st Place
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5.66Boston University1.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wes Fleuchaus | 25.6% | 21.6% | 19.3% | 13.7% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nick Waldo | 7.3% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 17.7% | 15.9% | 15.4% | 6.2% | 0.9% |
| Emmett Weeks | 14.4% | 14.9% | 16.6% | 17.3% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Lucas Campbell | 7.3% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 17.1% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 1.3% |
| Neil Forrester | 9.0% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 9.4% | 1.5% |
| Charles Proctor | 27.1% | 25.3% | 19.1% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jaime Russell | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 17.9% | 40.0% | 7.6% |
| Colin Knirk | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 7.2% | 85.0% |
| Jacob Waldman | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 17.0% | 20.9% | 19.4% | 3.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.