Race 12B

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Henry Dumke 9.3% 7.9% 7.8% 9.2% 8.5% 8.8% 8.4% 10.0% 9.5% 8.4% 6.1% 4.1% 2.0%
James Beatty 12.7% 15.2% 11.7% 11.5% 11.5% 10.0% 7.9% 6.1% 6.1% 4.0% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
Brendan Read 6.4% 7.5% 7.7% 8.9% 9.6% 9.6% 7.7% 9.2% 10.4% 8.4% 7.3% 5.5% 1.8%
Nicholas Karnovsky 10.9% 11.7% 11.3% 12.0% 9.3% 9.3% 9.4% 8.9% 5.8% 6.1% 3.1% 1.7% 0.5%
Benjamin Craig 5.1% 4.4% 4.8% 4.8% 7.5% 7.2% 6.0% 7.2% 10.4% 10.3% 12.1% 11.8% 8.4%
Hugh MacGillivray 11.8% 12.1% 11.6% 11.2% 9.0% 11.0% 8.7% 7.8% 5.7% 6.0% 2.9% 1.7% 0.5%
Jeffrey Adam 4.3% 3.0% 4.0% 4.6% 5.3% 4.9% 5.5% 5.4% 9.8% 8.8% 12.4% 18.6% 13.4%
A. Tucker Atterbury 6.3% 7.9% 6.5% 7.8% 8.0% 6.7% 9.7% 11.2% 8.8% 9.4% 9.0% 6.1% 2.6%
Quinn Andersen 7.1% 6.4% 7.8% 8.0% 7.9% 9.0% 10.9% 8.2% 8.6% 9.4% 8.1% 5.4% 3.2%
Matthew Kaplan 17.7% 14.4% 16.5% 9.7% 9.6% 9.0% 8.4% 4.8% 4.0% 3.4% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2%
Bayard Lalor 1.4% 1.3% 1.4% 2.2% 3.3% 3.5% 3.8% 5.0% 4.8% 6.8% 11.4% 18.0% 37.1%
Reed Lorimer 5.1% 5.5% 6.1% 7.7% 7.5% 6.6% 8.8% 9.6% 9.3% 9.2% 11.9% 7.7% 5.0%
Kurran Singh 1.9% 2.7% 2.8% 2.4% 3.0% 4.4% 4.8% 6.6% 6.8% 9.8% 12.0% 17.8% 25.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.