Race 13B

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Hugh MacGillivray 11.9% 11.3% 11.2% 10.5% 10.4% 10.5% 9.9% 6.5% 7.6% 4.5% 3.5% 1.5% 0.7%
Quinn Andersen 6.2% 7.2% 7.7% 7.2% 9.4% 8.9% 9.5% 10.2% 8.2% 8.3% 8.4% 6.6% 2.2%
Brendan Read 6.0% 7.4% 8.5% 9.0% 8.6% 8.1% 8.7% 10.9% 9.9% 9.2% 6.0% 5.8% 1.9%
Nicholas Karnovsky 11.4% 10.5% 12.9% 9.9% 10.4% 9.7% 7.8% 9.4% 7.3% 5.8% 3.4% 0.9% 0.6%
Matthew Kaplan 18.1% 15.4% 14.0% 11.4% 10.6% 8.8% 8.1% 4.3% 3.8% 3.4% 1.0% 1.1% 0.0%
Henry Dumke 8.9% 8.3% 7.8% 10.2% 9.5% 7.5% 11.1% 7.8% 8.3% 7.2% 6.9% 4.5% 2.0%
Reed Lorimer 7.0% 6.6% 6.9% 6.3% 6.9% 9.0% 6.8% 9.5% 10.1% 10.0% 9.2% 8.5% 3.2%
James Beatty 14.1% 13.6% 11.1% 12.6% 10.2% 11.8% 8.9% 6.1% 4.2% 3.8% 2.1% 1.2% 0.3%
Jeffrey Adam 3.0% 3.9% 3.6% 4.2% 3.8% 3.9% 6.1% 6.6% 9.5% 9.7% 15.4% 14.3% 16.0%
Bayard Lalor 1.4% 2.1% 2.2% 2.5% 2.4% 2.2% 3.6% 4.1% 5.2% 8.0% 9.8% 18.2% 38.3%
A. Tucker Atterbury 5.8% 7.3% 7.5% 9.2% 7.5% 9.0% 8.9% 9.8% 9.3% 10.1% 7.4% 5.3% 2.9%
Benjamin Craig 4.1% 4.2% 3.7% 5.1% 6.2% 6.8% 5.2% 9.0% 8.9% 11.0% 13.0% 13.2% 9.6%
Kurran Singh 2.1% 2.2% 2.9% 1.9% 4.1% 3.8% 5.4% 5.8% 7.7% 9.0% 13.9% 18.9% 22.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.