Race 14B

oberg

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Kurran Singh 2.5% 2.9% 2.1% 2.1% 3.3% 6.1% 5.0% 6.2% 6.1% 10.2% 12.2% 19.3% 22.0%
A. Tucker Atterbury 6.6% 5.4% 7.2% 7.8% 7.5% 8.9% 9.3% 9.8% 8.5% 10.4% 8.7% 6.9% 3.0%
Bayard Lalor 1.6% 1.4% 0.9% 1.8% 1.8% 3.3% 3.8% 3.9% 6.2% 7.0% 11.2% 15.9% 41.2%
Matthew Kaplan 16.8% 16.1% 13.7% 11.9% 10.0% 8.1% 8.2% 4.9% 6.1% 2.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Henry Dumke 7.8% 9.4% 8.3% 10.3% 7.9% 9.0% 9.2% 9.9% 10.1% 5.6% 6.9% 4.3% 1.3%
Hugh MacGillivray 12.3% 11.3% 11.9% 10.9% 11.2% 10.9% 8.0% 7.3% 5.4% 5.1% 3.3% 1.9% 0.5%
Jeffrey Adam 4.0% 3.9% 3.2% 4.6% 4.9% 4.1% 6.0% 6.5% 8.6% 11.0% 13.3% 15.9% 14.0%
Benjamin Craig 4.3% 4.4% 4.8% 5.0% 4.7% 6.5% 8.3% 8.4% 11.3% 11.0% 10.2% 12.9% 8.2%
Brendan Read 7.4% 6.0% 7.8% 8.8% 10.3% 7.8% 9.4% 9.6% 8.7% 8.0% 8.6% 4.5% 3.1%
Nicholas Karnovsky 11.9% 11.0% 11.0% 11.0% 11.8% 8.5% 7.9% 9.0% 5.7% 5.3% 4.5% 1.8% 0.6%
James Beatty 13.7% 16.1% 15.1% 10.5% 10.8% 9.5% 7.2% 6.9% 3.6% 3.8% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3%
Quinn Andersen 6.4% 6.7% 7.4% 7.9% 8.3% 8.7% 9.4% 9.3% 10.1% 8.7% 7.6% 6.9% 2.6%
Reed Lorimer 4.7% 5.4% 6.6% 7.4% 7.5% 8.6% 8.3% 8.3% 9.6% 11.7% 10.4% 8.3% 3.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.