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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+3.59vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.09+3.24vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.23+1.91vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+4.15vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.43+2.47vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.69+0.63vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.24-2.07vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.42-0.57vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.70-2.50vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University0.93+1.75vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.71-4.48vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.33-1.10vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.29-2.05vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-3.00vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.27-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.59Boston College3.350.2%1st Place
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5.24University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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4.91Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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7.47Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.63Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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4.93Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.43Harvard University2.420.1%1st Place
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6.5University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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11.75Salve Regina University0.930.0%1st Place
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6.52Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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10.9Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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10.95Northeastern University1.290.0%1st Place
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11.0Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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13.03University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wade Waddell | 17.0% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 11.1% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Conner Harding | 13.2% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Franco Bilik | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Holley | 13.6% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Wagner | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Caden Buckley | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 15.6% | 20.5% | 19.5% |
| Walter Florio | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Samuel Campbell | 2.2% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 10.1% |
| Donal Ryan | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 15.9% | 11.7% |
| George Luber | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 17.7% | 11.1% |
| River Iannaccone | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 19.7% | 43.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.