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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.43+6.14vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.23+2.75vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.09+2.22vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.35+0.54vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.29+5.64vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.70+0.40vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.42+0.20vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.24-3.12vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53+0.96vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.33+0.59vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.69-4.48vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-0.90vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.27+0.15vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.93-2.40vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.71-8.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.14Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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4.75Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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5.22University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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4.54Boston College3.350.2%1st Place
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10.64Northeastern University1.290.0%1st Place
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6.4University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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7.2Harvard University2.420.1%1st Place
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4.88Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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9.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.0%1st Place
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10.59Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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6.52Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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11.1Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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13.15University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
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11.6Salve Regina University0.930.0%1st Place
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6.32Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Vasiliou | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Conner Harding | 12.3% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 11.7% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Wade Waddell | 15.8% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Donal Ryan | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 12.7% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 9.9% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jackson Wagner | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Holley | 14.2% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Caso | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 9.4% | 5.2% |
| Samuel Campbell | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 7.8% |
| Franco Bilik | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| George Luber | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 16.6% | 16.6% | 11.1% |
| River Iannaccone | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 17.3% | 47.4% |
| Caden Buckley | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 20.2% | 16.4% |
| Walter Florio | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.