← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College3.35+3.55vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College2.43+5.19vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.69+3.51vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University3.24+0.96vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University3.23+0.09vs Predicted
-
6University of Vermont2.70+0.54vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island3.09-1.66vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+0.12vs Predicted
-
9Connecticut College2.71-2.56vs Predicted
-
10Boston University1.33+0.75vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22+0.03vs Predicted
-
12Salve Regina University0.93-0.01vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University2.42-5.37vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University1.29-3.19vs Predicted
-
15University of New Hampshire0.27-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.55Boston College3.350.2%1st Place
-
7.19Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
-
6.51Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
-
4.96Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
-
5.09Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
-
6.54University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
-
5.34University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
-
8.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
-
6.44Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
-
10.75Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
-
11.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
-
11.99Salve Regina University0.930.0%1st Place
-
7.63Harvard University2.420.1%1st Place
-
10.81Northeastern University1.290.0%1st Place
-
13.05University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wade Waddell | 15.6% | 16.2% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Franco Bilik | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Holley | 14.0% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Conner Harding | 12.2% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Dakota Northrup | 12.1% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Walter Florio | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Campbell | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 9.0% |
| George Luber | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 16.3% | 16.8% | 13.0% |
| Caden Buckley | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 22.7% | 19.7% |
| Jackson Wagner | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Donal Ryan | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 14.5% | 10.5% |
| River Iannaccone | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 19.4% | 44.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.