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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.70+1.80vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.62+1.04vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy1.32+2.27vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.07-0.27vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.67-0.55vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-1.23vs Predicted
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7Bentley University0.50-0.37vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.05-2.34vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.62-0.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8Tufts University2.700.3%1st Place
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3.04Bowdoin College2.620.2%1st Place
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5.27Maine Maritime Academy1.320.1%1st Place
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3.73Brown University2.070.2%1st Place
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4.45Harvard University1.670.1%1st Place
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4.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.1%1st Place
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6.63Bentley University0.500.0%1st Place
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5.66Boston University1.050.1%1st Place
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8.64University of New Hampshire-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Proctor | 28.5% | 22.0% | 18.8% | 13.7% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Wes Fleuchaus | 22.9% | 23.5% | 16.9% | 15.5% | 11.3% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Campbell | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 16.8% | 19.4% | 13.6% | 1.8% |
| Emmett Weeks | 15.3% | 15.5% | 17.7% | 16.6% | 14.6% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Nick Waldo | 10.0% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 1.2% |
| Neil Forrester | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 16.5% | 18.0% | 14.5% | 8.5% | 0.5% |
| Jaime Russell | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 17.9% | 40.1% | 7.5% |
| Jacob Waldman | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 16.4% | 21.1% | 19.6% | 2.9% |
| Colin Knirk | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 85.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.