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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.23+3.80vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.09+3.12vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.42+4.10vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.24+0.84vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.70+1.47vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53+4.01vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.69-0.58vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.33+2.55vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.71-2.70vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.43-2.68vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.35-6.37vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.29-1.15vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-1.98vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.93-2.40vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.27-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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5.12University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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7.1Harvard University2.420.1%1st Place
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4.84Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.47University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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10.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.0%1st Place
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6.42Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.55Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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6.3Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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7.32Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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4.63Boston College3.350.2%1st Place
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10.85Northeastern University1.290.0%1st Place
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11.02Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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11.6Salve Regina University0.930.0%1st Place
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12.97University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conner Harding | 14.0% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 12.0% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Wagner | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Holley | 13.3% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Caso | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 5.7% |
| Franco Bilik | 9.2% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Campbell | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 8.1% |
| Walter Florio | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Wade Waddell | 15.4% | 15.7% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Donal Ryan | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 15.3% | 15.5% | 14.1% | 10.1% |
| George Luber | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 17.8% | 12.1% |
| Caden Buckley | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 18.5% | 18.4% |
| River Iannaccone | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 11.6% | 17.5% | 43.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.