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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+3.45vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.43+5.06vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.69+3.37vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.70+2.44vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.09+0.34vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.71+0.37vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.24-2.16vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.23-3.06vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.42-1.82vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.29+0.71vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-1.03vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.93-0.17vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-2.00vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.33-3.44vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.27-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.45Boston College3.350.2%1st Place
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7.06Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.37Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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6.44University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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5.34University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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6.37Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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4.84Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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4.94Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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7.18Harvard University2.420.1%1st Place
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10.71Northeastern University1.290.0%1st Place
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9.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.0%1st Place
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11.83Salve Regina University0.930.0%1st Place
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11.0Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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10.56Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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12.93University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wade Waddell | 17.1% | 16.2% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Franco Bilik | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Dakota Northrup | 11.4% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Walter Florio | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Holley | 13.8% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Conner Harding | 13.1% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Wagner | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Donal Ryan | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 15.9% | 8.9% |
| Sarah Caso | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 7.6% |
| Caden Buckley | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 16.2% | 20.6% | 18.5% |
| George Luber | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 16.3% | 12.0% |
| Samuel Campbell | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 13.5% | 8.4% |
| River Iannaccone | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 12.3% | 17.5% | 43.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.