Race 10C

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Cameron Holley 14.2% 13.7% 13.6% 9.8% 9.3% 9.4% 8.6% 6.0% 5.6% 4.1% 2.4% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.2%
Jan Kite-Powell 7.5% 8.5% 9.6% 9.0% 7.6% 9.5% 8.9% 8.6% 8.1% 8.5% 5.8% 4.6% 2.4% 1.3% 0.1%
Jackson Wagner 6.0% 6.5% 6.4% 6.3% 8.2% 7.3% 8.5% 9.2% 8.3% 10.5% 9.8% 5.5% 4.8% 2.5% 0.2%
Franco Bilik 7.8% 9.0% 7.4% 8.5% 8.0% 8.9% 8.5% 7.4% 9.9% 9.6% 6.4% 4.4% 3.3% 0.6% 0.3%
George Luber 1.9% 2.1% 2.1% 2.5% 2.6% 3.3% 2.9% 5.1% 5.4% 6.0% 9.9% 10.5% 17.1% 16.7% 11.9%
Dakota Northrup 11.2% 11.2% 9.8% 12.9% 9.7% 11.2% 7.8% 8.4% 6.4% 5.6% 3.3% 1.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Walter Florio 9.5% 6.7% 7.1% 8.4% 9.8% 8.7% 10.5% 9.2% 8.0% 6.7% 6.7% 4.9% 2.8% 0.7% 0.3%
Alexander Vasiliou 6.3% 5.4% 6.9% 7.6% 7.4% 6.8% 7.0% 8.9% 8.8% 10.4% 10.4% 7.2% 4.1% 2.1% 0.7%
Wade Waddell 14.5% 14.3% 13.3% 11.5% 10.8% 10.3% 8.4% 5.1% 5.2% 3.0% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1%
Greta Farrell 4.2% 3.8% 4.6% 6.4% 6.9% 6.2% 7.8% 7.9% 9.3% 10.0% 10.3% 10.6% 6.9% 3.8% 1.3%
Caden Buckley 1.4% 1.6% 1.5% 1.6% 1.3% 1.9% 3.4% 3.6% 4.7% 5.3% 7.0% 12.1% 14.7% 20.6% 19.3%
Conner Harding 11.3% 13.1% 12.5% 9.7% 11.1% 9.6% 7.9% 8.7% 6.2% 4.8% 2.6% 1.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Donal Ryan 1.8% 1.5% 2.4% 3.0% 2.3% 2.0% 3.9% 3.8% 6.6% 5.9% 10.1% 12.8% 15.9% 15.9% 12.1%
Samuel Campbell 1.8% 2.1% 1.7% 2.3% 3.8% 3.2% 4.1% 6.2% 5.5% 6.7% 8.9% 13.1% 15.6% 16.7% 8.3%
River Iannaccone 0.6% 0.5% 1.1% 0.5% 1.2% 1.7% 1.8% 1.9% 2.0% 2.9% 4.2% 8.0% 9.8% 18.6% 45.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.