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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.42+6.16vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.97+3.44vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.69+3.47vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.09+1.30vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.70+1.53vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.29+1.76vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.23-2.29vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.93+3.06vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.90-3.06vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22+0.61vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.71-4.53vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.24-7.09vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.27-0.64vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.29-3.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.16Harvard University2.420.1%1st Place
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5.44Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.47Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.3University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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6.53University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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7.76Bowdoin College2.290.1%1st Place
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4.71Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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11.06Salve Regina University0.930.0%1st Place
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5.94Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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10.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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6.47Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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4.91Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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12.36University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
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10.28Northeastern University1.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Wagner | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Robby Gearon | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Franco Bilik | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Dakota Northrup | 10.9% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Jack Fullerton | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Conner Harding | 14.7% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caden Buckley | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 10.1% | 16.1% | 23.6% | 22.0% |
| Peter Lynn | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| George Luber | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 19.0% | 21.6% | 13.5% |
| Walter Florio | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 13.2% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| River Iannaccone | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 6.7% | 11.7% | 17.7% | 49.7% |
| Donal Ryan | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 18.8% | 19.0% | 10.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.