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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.70+5.29vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.71+4.19vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22+7.45vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.24+0.96vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.69+1.55vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.09-0.64vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.97-1.59vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.23-3.04vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.93+2.23vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.90-4.03vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.42-3.69vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.29-4.37vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.29-2.67vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire0.27-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.29University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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6.19Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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10.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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4.96Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.55Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.36University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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5.41Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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4.96Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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11.23Salve Regina University0.930.0%1st Place
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5.97Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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7.31Harvard University2.420.1%1st Place
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7.63Bowdoin College2.290.1%1st Place
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10.33Northeastern University1.290.0%1st Place
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12.36University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan Kite-Powell | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Walter Florio | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| George Luber | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 21.6% | 14.7% |
| Cameron Holley | 11.8% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Dakota Northrup | 12.2% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Robby Gearon | 11.0% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Conner Harding | 13.5% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Caden Buckley | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 17.6% | 24.1% | 21.9% |
| Peter Lynn | 8.9% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jackson Wagner | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Jack Fullerton | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Donal Ryan | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 8.9% | 13.8% | 19.0% | 17.5% | 12.2% |
| River Iannaccone | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 20.7% | 47.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.