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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.63+0.76vs Predicted
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2Santa Clara University0.59+4.53vs Predicted
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3Santa Clara University0.59+3.53vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.39+1.09vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.71-0.67vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.59-1.46vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-3.23vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.44-3.05vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-3.62vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.69-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.76Stanford University3.630.5%1st Place
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6.53Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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6.53Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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5.09University of California at Los Angeles1.390.1%1st Place
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4.33University of California at Berkeley1.710.1%1st Place
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4.54University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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3.77University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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4.95University of Southern California1.440.1%1st Place
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5.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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8.64University of California at San Diego-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lily Katz | 53.4% | 27.9% | 11.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 16.5% | 36.8% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 16.5% | 36.8% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 5.1% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 16.7% | 18.2% | 11.0% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 8.6% | 12.1% | 16.9% | 16.9% | 13.7% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 5.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 7.8% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 8.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 11.5% | 17.4% | 20.1% | 16.6% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christina Gasparich | 6.1% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 17.1% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 10.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 5.1% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 16.8% | 15.8% | 19.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Cheyenne Wright | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 85.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.