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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.70+1.81vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.67+2.75vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.62-0.07vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.07-0.29vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-0.29vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.05-0.33vs Predicted
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7Maine Maritime Academy1.32-1.77vs Predicted
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8Bentley University0.50-1.43vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.62-0.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81Tufts University2.700.3%1st Place
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4.75Harvard University1.670.1%1st Place
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2.93Bowdoin College2.620.3%1st Place
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3.71Brown University2.070.2%1st Place
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4.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.1%1st Place
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5.67Boston University1.050.0%1st Place
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5.23Maine Maritime Academy1.320.1%1st Place
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6.57Bentley University0.500.0%1st Place
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8.62University of New Hampshire-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Proctor | 27.6% | 23.9% | 17.3% | 14.6% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nick Waldo | 7.1% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 15.9% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 1.0% |
| Wes Fleuchaus | 25.5% | 22.1% | 19.1% | 12.8% | 11.4% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Weeks | 15.8% | 16.1% | 17.4% | 15.5% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Neil Forrester | 8.6% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 16.6% | 13.7% | 9.1% | 1.7% |
| Jacob Waldman | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 22.3% | 20.1% | 2.2% |
| Lucas Campbell | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 14.3% | 18.1% | 18.4% | 12.7% | 2.0% |
| Jaime Russell | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 17.9% | 38.9% | 7.9% |
| Colin Knirk | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 6.5% | 85.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.