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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.71+3.44vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.39+3.16vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.63-1.25vs Predicted
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4Santa Clara University0.59+2.26vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-1.21vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.44-1.14vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-1.57vs Predicted
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8Santa Clara University0.59-1.74vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.59-4.35vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.69-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.44University of California at Berkeley1.710.1%1st Place
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5.16University of California at Los Angeles1.390.0%1st Place
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1.75Stanford University3.630.5%1st Place
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6.26Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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3.79University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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4.86University of Southern California1.440.1%1st Place
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5.43Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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6.26Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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4.65University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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8.66University of California at San Diego-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Hays | 8.6% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 7.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 4.9% | 6.3% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 17.5% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Katz | 52.8% | 29.0% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 2.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 18.5% | 33.5% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 12.2% | 20.8% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christina Gasparich | 5.9% | 9.5% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 10.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 4.7% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 15.7% | 18.2% | 17.2% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 2.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 18.5% | 33.5% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 7.8% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 8.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Cheyenne Wright | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 5.6% | 87.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.