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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.59+3.66vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.63-0.17vs Predicted
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3Santa Clara University0.59+3.42vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.71+0.36vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-1.22vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.66vs Predicted
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7Santa Clara University0.59-0.58vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.44-3.07vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles1.39-3.99vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.69-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.66University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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1.83Stanford University3.630.5%1st Place
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6.42Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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4.36University of California at Berkeley1.710.1%1st Place
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3.78University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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5.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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6.42Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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4.93University of Southern California1.440.1%1st Place
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5.01University of California at Los Angeles1.390.1%1st Place
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8.66University of California at San Diego-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louise Currie | 7.8% | 9.6% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 8.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lily Katz | 51.2% | 27.4% | 12.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 2.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 17.7% | 35.9% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 8.1% | 13.3% | 15.9% | 17.0% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 13.2% | 19.6% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 5.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 18.0% | 16.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 2.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 17.7% | 35.9% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Christina Gasparich | 6.1% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 15.1% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 10.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 6.3% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 16.9% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Cheyenne Wright | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 5.6% | 87.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.