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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.71+3.44vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.63-0.19vs Predicted
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3Santa Clara University0.59+3.44vs Predicted
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4Santa Clara University0.59+2.44vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.59-0.41vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.39-1.09vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-3.21vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.44-3.03vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-3.62vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.69-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.44University of California at Berkeley1.710.1%1st Place
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1.81Stanford University3.630.5%1st Place
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6.44Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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6.44Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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4.59University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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4.91University of California at Los Angeles1.390.1%1st Place
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3.79University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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4.97University of Southern California1.440.1%1st Place
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5.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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8.67University of California at San Diego-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Hays | 8.5% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 12.9% | 6.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lily Katz | 51.7% | 28.2% | 11.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 2.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 17.3% | 36.9% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 2.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 17.3% | 36.9% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 8.2% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 18.1% | 13.9% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 6.1% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 11.8% | 17.5% | 19.1% | 16.5% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christina Gasparich | 6.1% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 17.5% | 14.9% | 10.9% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 5.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 16.3% | 20.0% | 15.8% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Cheyenne Wright | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 87.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.