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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.63+0.73vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.71+2.61vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.59+1.71vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-0.25vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.44-0.17vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.68vs Predicted
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7Santa Clara University0.59-0.56vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.39-3.04vs Predicted
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9Santa Clara University0.59-2.56vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.69-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.73Stanford University3.630.6%1st Place
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4.61University of California at Berkeley1.710.1%1st Place
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4.71University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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3.75University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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4.83University of Southern California1.440.1%1st Place
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5.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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6.44Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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4.96University of California at Los Angeles1.390.1%1st Place
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6.44Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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8.66University of California at San Diego-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lily Katz | 55.6% | 25.5% | 11.8% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 5.3% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 17.5% | 17.7% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 7.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 6.8% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 16.1% | 15.9% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 11.8% | 18.4% | 19.8% | 16.7% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christina Gasparich | 6.6% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 15.9% | 10.2% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 18.0% | 17.4% | 15.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 2.3% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 18.8% | 36.4% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 6.3% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 2.3% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 18.8% | 36.4% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Cheyenne Wright | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 5.4% | 87.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.