← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University3.63+0.71vs Predicted
-
2University of Hawaii1.59+2.82vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+0.90vs Predicted
-
4Santa Clara University0.59+2.29vs Predicted
-
5Santa Clara University0.59+1.29vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley1.71-1.66vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Los Angeles1.39-2.01vs Predicted
-
8University of Southern California1.44-3.08vs Predicted
-
9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-3.62vs Predicted
-
10University of California at San Diego-1.69-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.71Stanford University3.630.6%1st Place
-
4.82University of Hawaii1.590.0%1st Place
-
3.9University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
-
6.29Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
-
6.29Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
-
4.34University of California at Berkeley1.710.1%1st Place
-
4.99University of California at Los Angeles1.390.1%1st Place
-
4.92University of Southern California1.440.1%1st Place
-
5.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
-
8.66University of California at San Diego-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lily Katz | 57.1% | 25.3% | 10.0% | 5.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 4.6% | 9.4% | 15.3% | 16.5% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 8.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 9.8% | 18.3% | 17.6% | 17.4% | 15.2% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 2.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 17.5% | 34.0% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 2.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 17.5% | 34.0% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 9.0% | 15.1% | 16.8% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 5.4% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 17.6% | 10.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Christina Gasparich | 6.3% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 17.1% | 14.7% | 11.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 5.4% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 14.7% | 16.2% | 18.8% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Cheyenne Wright | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 5.8% | 87.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.