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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.63+0.75vs Predicted
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2Santa Clara University0.59+4.56vs Predicted
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3Santa Clara University0.59+3.56vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.44+0.98vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.71-0.66vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-2.25vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-1.67vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.39-3.00vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.59-4.36vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.69-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.75Stanford University3.630.5%1st Place
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6.56Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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6.56Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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4.98University of Southern California1.440.1%1st Place
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4.34University of California at Berkeley1.710.1%1st Place
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3.75University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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5.33Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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5.0University of California at Los Angeles1.390.1%1st Place
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4.64University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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8.64University of California at San Diego-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lily Katz | 53.3% | 28.1% | 11.9% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 17.1% | 37.6% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 17.1% | 37.6% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Christina Gasparich | 5.5% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 17.9% | 10.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 8.7% | 11.7% | 16.9% | 17.5% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 5.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 12.2% | 20.8% | 17.5% | 15.5% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 4.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 16.8% | 16.8% | 16.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 5.9% | 8.6% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 16.8% | 17.0% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 7.2% | 10.6% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Cheyenne Wright | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 6.1% | 86.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.