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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.63+0.73vs Predicted
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2Santa Clara University0.59+4.55vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+0.89vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+1.25vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University0.59+1.55vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.71-1.67vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.39-1.99vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.59-3.36vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California1.44-4.06vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.69-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.73Stanford University3.630.6%1st Place
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6.55Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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3.89University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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5.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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6.55Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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4.33University of California at Berkeley1.710.1%1st Place
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5.01University of California at Los Angeles1.390.1%1st Place
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4.64University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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4.94University of Southern California1.440.1%1st Place
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8.65University of California at San Diego-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lily Katz | 55.2% | 26.7% | 10.5% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 18.0% | 36.1% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 9.9% | 17.4% | 19.1% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 4.8% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 18.5% | 15.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 18.0% | 36.1% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Hays | 8.4% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 6.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hays | 5.3% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 7.5% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 16.3% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Christina Gasparich | 6.4% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Cheyenne Wright | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 6.8% | 85.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.