← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.63+1.51vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Berkeley1.62+2.21vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Los Angeles0.92+2.43vs Predicted
-
4Santa Clara University1.42+0.60vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California0.85+0.59vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38+0.27vs Predicted
-
7Santa Clara University1.42-2.40vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-4.48vs Predicted
-
9University of Hawaii1.74-5.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.51Stanford University2.630.3%1st Place
-
4.21University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
-
5.43University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
-
4.6Santa Clara University1.420.1%1st Place
-
5.59University of Southern California0.850.0%1st Place
-
6.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
-
4.6Santa Clara University1.420.1%1st Place
-
3.52University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.2%1st Place
-
3.88University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria El-Khazindar | 33.8% | 26.1% | 16.1% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 11.8% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 17.3% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 15.7% | 22.3% | 18.7% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 8.8% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 19.1% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| Hollis Barth | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 16.3% | 22.7% | 20.2% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Cornella | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 15.9% | 41.6% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 8.8% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 19.1% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 18.1% | 18.4% | 16.6% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 13.6% | 15.2% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 16.0% | 10.8% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.