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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.07+2.84vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.67+2.70vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.70-0.19vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.62-1.13vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-0.26vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.05-0.37vs Predicted
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7Bentley University0.50-0.41vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy1.32-2.82vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.62-0.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84Brown University2.070.2%1st Place
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4.7Harvard University1.670.1%1st Place
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2.81Tufts University2.700.3%1st Place
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2.87Bowdoin College2.620.3%1st Place
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4.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.1%1st Place
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5.63Boston University1.050.0%1st Place
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6.59Bentley University0.500.0%1st Place
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5.18Maine Maritime Academy1.320.1%1st Place
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8.63University of New Hampshire-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmett Weeks | 15.6% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 16.4% | 16.2% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Nick Waldo | 7.6% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 16.9% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 8.3% | 0.8% |
| Charles Proctor | 27.1% | 22.6% | 19.2% | 14.3% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Wes Fleuchaus | 25.9% | 23.9% | 17.7% | 14.3% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Neil Forrester | 8.2% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 8.8% | 1.9% |
| Jacob Waldman | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 16.7% | 21.8% | 18.6% | 2.5% |
| Jaime Russell | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 18.5% | 39.6% | 7.1% |
| Lucas Campbell | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 17.8% | 14.2% | 1.6% |
| Colin Knirk | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 6.3% | 86.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.