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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.63+1.47vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+1.42vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.74+0.99vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.62+0.25vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.92+0.45vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University1.42-1.48vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California0.85-1.37vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.38-1.73vs Predicted
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9Santa Clara University1.42-4.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47Stanford University2.630.3%1st Place
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3.42University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.2%1st Place
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3.99University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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4.25University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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5.45University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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4.52Santa Clara University1.420.1%1st Place
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5.63University of Southern California0.850.1%1st Place
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6.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.380.0%1st Place
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4.52Santa Clara University1.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria El-Khazindar | 34.9% | 24.4% | 17.8% | 11.7% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 18.1% | 19.2% | 18.2% | 16.1% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 13.3% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 10.7% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 15.9% | 16.5% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 16.5% | 20.6% | 18.5% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 10.0% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Hollis Barth | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 19.9% | 24.1% | 0.0% |
| Kathryn Cornella | 2.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 15.3% | 20.4% | 37.3% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 10.0% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.