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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Santa Clara University1.42+3.55vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.63+0.56vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.92+2.52vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.74+0.07vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-1.54vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.62-1.77vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California0.85-1.32vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.62-2.07vs Predicted
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9Santa Clara University1.42-4.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.55Santa Clara University1.420.1%1st Place
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2.56Stanford University2.630.3%1st Place
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5.52University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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4.07University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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3.46University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.2%1st Place
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4.23University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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5.68University of Southern California0.850.1%1st Place
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5.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.620.0%1st Place
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4.55Santa Clara University1.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francesca Cappellini | 10.4% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 33.0% | 24.2% | 17.7% | 12.8% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 15.5% | 19.2% | 22.7% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 12.1% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 14.9% | 16.3% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 17.7% | 19.1% | 19.5% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 10.9% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Hollis Barth | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 15.0% | 19.4% | 25.6% | 0.0% |
| Maria-Elena Falahee-Walker | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 15.2% | 18.7% | 31.1% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 10.4% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.