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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.63+1.49vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+1.48vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.92+2.49vs Predicted
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4Santa Clara University1.42+0.63vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.74-0.94vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.62-1.77vs Predicted
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7Santa Clara University1.42-2.37vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California0.85-2.34vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.62-3.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.49Stanford University2.630.3%1st Place
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3.48University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.2%1st Place
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5.49University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
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4.63Santa Clara University1.420.1%1st Place
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4.06University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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4.23University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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4.63Santa Clara University1.420.1%1st Place
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5.66University of Southern California0.850.1%1st Place
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5.94Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria El-Khazindar | 34.9% | 24.0% | 18.0% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 17.7% | 18.6% | 17.7% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 16.3% | 18.4% | 22.9% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 8.4% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 12.3% | 13.6% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 11.8% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 16.5% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 8.4% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 9.1% | 0.0% |
| Hollis Barth | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 19.8% | 25.0% | 0.0% |
| Maria-Elena Falahee-Walker | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 16.8% | 19.1% | 30.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.