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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.63+1.52vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+1.47vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.74+1.05vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California0.85+1.65vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.92+0.52vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University1.42-1.43vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.62-2.74vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.62-2.03vs Predicted
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9Santa Clara University1.42-4.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.52Stanford University2.630.3%1st Place
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3.47University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.2%1st Place
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4.05University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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5.65University of Southern California0.850.1%1st Place
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5.52University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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4.57Santa Clara University1.420.1%1st Place
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4.26University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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5.97Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.620.0%1st Place
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4.57Santa Clara University1.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria El-Khazindar | 33.6% | 25.5% | 17.0% | 11.6% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 17.6% | 19.0% | 19.0% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 13.1% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Hollis Barth | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 19.4% | 24.7% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 4.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 15.8% | 19.9% | 21.4% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 16.6% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 12.3% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 17.1% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Maria-Elena Falahee-Walker | 3.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 20.3% | 30.6% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 16.6% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.