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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.63+1.50vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.62+2.26vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.62+2.99vs Predicted
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4Santa Clara University1.42+0.64vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-1.54vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University1.42-1.36vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.74-2.98vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California0.85-2.31vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.92-3.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5Stanford University2.630.3%1st Place
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4.26University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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5.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.620.0%1st Place
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4.64Santa Clara University1.420.1%1st Place
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3.46University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.2%1st Place
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4.64Santa Clara University1.420.1%1st Place
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4.02University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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5.69University of Southern California0.850.1%1st Place
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5.44University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria El-Khazindar | 34.7% | 24.5% | 17.2% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 11.5% | 11.4% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Maria-Elena Falahee-Walker | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 12.4% | 19.7% | 34.4% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 9.1% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 16.7% | 20.9% | 18.0% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 10.0% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 9.1% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 13.2% | 12.9% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Hollis Barth | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 16.1% | 21.1% | 24.5% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 17.3% | 17.5% | 20.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.