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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.63+1.51vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+1.48vs Predicted
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3Santa Clara University1.42+1.63vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.62+0.30vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.92+0.50vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.85-0.41vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.62-0.94vs Predicted
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8Santa Clara University1.42-3.37vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.74-5.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51Stanford University2.630.3%1st Place
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3.48University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.2%1st Place
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4.63Santa Clara University1.420.1%1st Place
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4.3University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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5.5University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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5.59University of Southern California0.850.1%1st Place
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6.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.620.0%1st Place
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4.63Santa Clara University1.420.1%1st Place
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3.93University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria El-Khazindar | 32.3% | 27.2% | 16.7% | 11.9% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 18.3% | 17.4% | 18.9% | 15.5% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 10.9% | 13.1% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 4.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 17.0% | 20.3% | 19.8% | 0.0% |
| Hollis Barth | 5.8% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 15.4% | 18.4% | 24.3% | 0.0% |
| Maria-Elena Falahee-Walker | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 19.6% | 35.2% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 8.8% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 14.1% | 14.0% | 16.9% | 15.1% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.