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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.63+1.47vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+1.47vs Predicted
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3Santa Clara University1.42+1.62vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.62+0.29vs Predicted
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5Santa Clara University1.42-0.38vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.74-1.96vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California0.85-1.39vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.62-1.92vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.92-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47Stanford University2.630.3%1st Place
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3.47University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.2%1st Place
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4.62Santa Clara University1.420.1%1st Place
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4.29University of California at Berkeley1.620.1%1st Place
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4.62Santa Clara University1.420.1%1st Place
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4.04University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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5.61University of Southern California0.850.1%1st Place
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6.08Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.620.0%1st Place
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5.41University of California at Los Angeles0.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria El-Khazindar | 34.4% | 26.1% | 16.6% | 11.0% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 18.0% | 18.3% | 18.3% | 16.3% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 16.3% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Oakes | 10.4% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Cappellini | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 16.3% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 12.3% | 13.9% | 17.6% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Hollis Barth | 5.3% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 17.8% | 25.0% | 0.0% |
| Maria-Elena Falahee-Walker | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 19.5% | 36.2% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 16.9% | 19.8% | 17.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.