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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.56+7.21vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.37+3.46vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.20+3.11vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.58+4.36vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.76+2.48vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+0.91vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.75+0.73vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.91-1.02vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.20-2.73vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.86+0.88vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.08-0.71vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.84-4.61vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.61-4.64vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.05-3.60vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.15-1.95vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook-0.92+0.45vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.33-4.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.21Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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5.46University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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6.11Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.36University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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7.48Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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7.73Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.98Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.27Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.88Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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10.29Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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7.39Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.36Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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10.4Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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13.05Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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16.45SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.0%1st Place
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12.66Connecticut College1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Koos | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Marly Isler | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.8% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 1.4% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 0.9% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 0.9% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 15.0% | 30.3% | 7.6% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 8.1% | 82.9% |
| Haley Kachmar | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 17.2% | 23.8% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.