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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+5.53vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.56+6.34vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.91+4.09vs Predicted
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4Fordham University2.61+4.30vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.37+0.42vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.20+0.27vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.20-0.87vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.58+0.20vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.75-1.13vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.84-2.70vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.76-3.20vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.15+1.04vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.86-1.96vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.33-1.29vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.05-4.76vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook-0.92+0.47vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.08-6.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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8.34Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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7.09Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.3Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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5.42University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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6.27Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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6.13Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.2University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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7.87Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.3Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.8Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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13.04Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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11.04Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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12.71Connecticut College1.330.0%1st Place
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10.24Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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16.47SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.0%1st Place
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10.25Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rosalind Lesh | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 13.2% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.2% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Marly Isler | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 16.4% | 30.2% | 6.1% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 10.1% | 1.4% |
| Haley Kachmar | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 11.2% | 17.8% | 25.3% | 5.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 7.4% | 1.1% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 7.9% | 84.2% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.