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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.07+2.84vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53+3.01vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.67+1.58vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.62-1.11vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy1.32+0.07vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.05-0.36vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.70-4.19vs Predicted
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8Bentley University0.50-1.44vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.62-0.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84Brown University2.070.2%1st Place
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5.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.1%1st Place
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4.58Harvard University1.670.1%1st Place
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2.89Bowdoin College2.620.3%1st Place
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5.07Maine Maritime Academy1.320.1%1st Place
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5.64Boston University1.050.1%1st Place
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2.81Tufts University2.700.3%1st Place
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6.56Bentley University0.500.0%1st Place
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8.6University of New Hampshire-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmett Weeks | 15.5% | 14.9% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 15.8% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Neil Forrester | 6.3% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 16.5% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 11.7% | 1.6% |
| Nick Waldo | 9.9% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 16.6% | 16.9% | 13.9% | 6.6% | 0.6% |
| Wes Fleuchaus | 25.2% | 23.6% | 19.6% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Campbell | 6.9% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 2.6% |
| Jacob Waldman | 5.4% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 15.3% | 22.3% | 19.2% | 2.4% |
| Charles Proctor | 27.7% | 22.8% | 17.5% | 14.8% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jaime Russell | 2.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 12.3% | 16.8% | 39.2% | 7.9% |
| Colin Knirk | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 6.7% | 84.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.