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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.91+5.91vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+4.60vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.20+3.08vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.56+4.51vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.37+0.41vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.61+2.38vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.75+0.71vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.15+4.86vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.84-1.46vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.33+2.65vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.76-3.21vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.08-1.82vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.86-1.90vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.58-5.53vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.05-4.77vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.20-9.91vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook-0.92-0.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.91Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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6.08Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.51Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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5.41University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.38Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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7.71Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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12.86Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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7.54Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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12.65Connecticut College1.330.0%1st Place
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7.79Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.18Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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11.1Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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8.47University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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10.23Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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6.09Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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16.49SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Hermus | 13.0% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 5.5% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Salomon | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 17.5% | 29.2% | 6.3% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Haley Kachmar | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 22.8% | 5.7% |
| Marly Isler | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 1.1% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 14.2% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 2.3% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 1.1% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.7% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 8.5% | 82.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.