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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.20+4.93vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.86+8.87vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.37+2.53vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.84+3.47vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.08+5.00vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.58+2.50vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.76+0.66vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.20-1.97vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-2.12vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.56-1.76vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.91-3.74vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.75-4.33vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.33-0.30vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.61-5.69vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.05-4.71vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.15-2.85vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook-0.92-0.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.93Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.87Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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5.53University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.47Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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10.0Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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8.5University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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7.66Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.03Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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6.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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8.24Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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7.26Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.67Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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12.7Connecticut College1.330.0%1st Place
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8.31Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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10.29Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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13.15Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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16.51SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Baab | 12.3% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 9.7% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.8% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 1.1% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Marly Isler | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 7.5% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Haley Kachmar | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 16.7% | 24.9% | 6.3% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 1.0% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 17.7% | 27.8% | 7.0% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 8.2% | 82.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.