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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.91+5.97vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.20+4.04vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.20+3.18vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.76+3.74vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+1.57vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.37-0.32vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.05+3.25vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.56+0.23vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.08+1.33vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.58-1.78vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.61-2.62vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.84-4.62vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.33-0.33vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.86-2.91vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.75-7.34vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.15-2.88vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook-0.92-0.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.97Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.04Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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6.18Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.74Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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6.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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5.68University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.25Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.23Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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10.33Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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8.22University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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8.38Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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7.38Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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12.67Connecticut College1.330.0%1st Place
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11.09Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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7.66Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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13.12Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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16.5SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.2% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marly Isler | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 1.0% |
| Courtney Koos | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Shannon Killian | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 1.3% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Haley Kachmar | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 16.2% | 24.0% | 6.3% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 1.4% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 18.3% | 28.0% | 6.6% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 8.1% | 82.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.