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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.05+9.02vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.91+5.03vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.76+4.64vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.86+6.95vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.56+3.22vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.20+0.29vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.84+0.43vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.20-1.98vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.37-3.29vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.61-1.90vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.58-2.51vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-5.30vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.08-2.70vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.75-6.15vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College1.15-1.93vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.33-3.31vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook-0.92-0.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.02Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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7.03Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.64Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.95Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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8.22Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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6.29Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.43Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.02Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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5.71University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.1Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.49University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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6.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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10.3Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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7.85Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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13.07Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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12.69Connecticut College1.330.0%1st Place
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16.49SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria McGruer | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 1.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Marly Isler | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 11.6% | 1.1% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 12.3% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.2% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 2.3% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 16.8% | 29.8% | 7.1% |
| Haley Kachmar | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 12.1% | 17.0% | 23.3% | 5.4% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 8.1% | 82.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.