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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.61+7.06vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.58+6.20vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.37+2.55vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+2.80vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.76+2.54vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.56+2.58vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.05+3.33vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.08+1.96vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.84-1.40vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.91-2.95vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College1.15+2.15vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.86-1.11vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.20-6.74vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.75-6.21vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.20-8.91vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.33-3.33vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook-0.92-0.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.06Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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8.2University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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5.55University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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6.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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7.54Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.58Bowdoin College2.560.0%1st Place
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10.33Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.96Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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7.6Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.05Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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13.15Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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10.89Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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6.26Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.79Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.09Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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12.67Connecticut College1.330.0%1st Place
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16.48SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adelaide Ferguson | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.9% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Marly Isler | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Courtney Koos | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 1.5% |
| Shannon Killian | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 6.6% | 0.5% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 15.0% | 32.3% | 7.8% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 1.6% |
| Lindsey Baab | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 11.9% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Haley Kachmar | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 16.7% | 23.1% | 5.6% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 4.0% | 7.9% | 82.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.