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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.76+6.42vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.86+8.87vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.05+7.24vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.56+4.43vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.75+2.54vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.84+1.57vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.08+3.15vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.91-1.03vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.58-0.47vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.33+2.60vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.20-4.72vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.37-6.44vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-6.17vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.20-7.77vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.92+1.41vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.61-7.79vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.15-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.42Yale University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.87Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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10.24Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.43Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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7.54Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.57Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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10.15Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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6.97Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.53University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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12.6Connecticut College1.330.0%1st Place
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6.28Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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5.56University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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6.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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6.23Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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16.41SUNY Stony Brook-0.920.0%1st Place
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8.21Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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13.17Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marly Isler | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 1.2% |
| Victoria McGruer | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 7.9% | 1.9% |
| Courtney Koos | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Taylor Ladd | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Shannon Killian | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 0.8% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Haley Kachmar | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 15.5% | 23.9% | 4.5% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.9% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.9% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Lindsey Baab | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Kurlander | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 3.2% | 8.5% | 82.3% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Salomon | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 16.8% | 30.7% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.