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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+4.69vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.02+2.80vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.74+6.29vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.83+5.03vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.37+5.46vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.44+1.02vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.23+0.59vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.77+1.06vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.42+1.69vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.67-4.05vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.36-3.70vs Predicted
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12Boston University-0.31+2.88vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.02-4.50vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.39-3.29vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-1.66+1.40vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.73-6.59vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.65-10.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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4.8Brown University3.020.2%1st Place
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9.29Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.03University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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10.46University of Vermont1.370.0%1st Place
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7.02Bowdoin College2.440.1%1st Place
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7.59Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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9.06Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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10.69Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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5.95Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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7.3Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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14.88Boston University-0.310.0%1st Place
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8.5Boston College2.020.1%1st Place
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10.71Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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16.4SUNY Stony Brook-1.660.0%1st Place
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9.41Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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6.2Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Hughes | 12.7% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 15.7% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 0.2% |
| Kimberly Morecraft | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Brown | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 7.7% | 0.5% |
| Mary Paz | 8.0% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hana Zwick | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Sofia Kirkman | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 7.8% | 0.6% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Davis | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 48.1% | 19.4% |
| Caroline Downey | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 7.2% | 0.6% |
| Gaura Mudgal | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 3.7% | 12.7% | 77.9% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Taylor Gavula | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.