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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.65+4.97vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.36+5.03vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.23+4.61vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.67+2.11vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.44+1.67vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.74+3.52vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.77+2.30vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.02-3.11vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.83+0.18vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.02-1.77vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.39-0.40vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.37-1.41vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-7.06vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.42-3.38vs Predicted
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15Boston University-0.31-0.18vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook-1.66+0.45vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College1.73-7.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.97Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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7.03Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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7.61Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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6.11Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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6.67Bowdoin College2.440.1%1st Place
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9.52Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.3Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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4.89Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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9.18University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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8.23Boston College2.020.0%1st Place
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10.6Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.59University of Vermont1.370.0%1st Place
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5.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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10.62Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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14.82Boston University-0.310.0%1st Place
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16.45SUNY Stony Brook-1.660.0%1st Place
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9.47Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Gavula | 11.4% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Molly Pleskus | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 10.7% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Paz | 9.3% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Hana Zwick | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 14.3% | 16.3% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Morecraft | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Caroline Downey | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Jennifer Killian | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 15.7% | 7.1% | 0.6% |
| Samantha Brown | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 6.5% | 0.5% |
| Annie Hughes | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Kirkman | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 7.2% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Davis | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 9.9% | 49.6% | 18.5% |
| Gaura Mudgal | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 13.9% | 78.2% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.