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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.70+1.79vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.07+1.97vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy1.32+2.27vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.67+0.41vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.62-2.11vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-1.23vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.05-1.31vs Predicted
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8Bentley University0.50-1.43vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.62-0.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79Tufts University2.700.3%1st Place
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3.97Brown University2.070.1%1st Place
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5.27Maine Maritime Academy1.320.1%1st Place
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4.41Harvard University1.670.1%1st Place
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2.89Bowdoin College2.620.3%1st Place
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4.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.1%1st Place
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5.69Boston University1.050.1%1st Place
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6.57Bentley University0.500.0%1st Place
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8.64University of New Hampshire-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Proctor | 28.0% | 22.7% | 18.9% | 14.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Emmett Weeks | 10.6% | 15.5% | 18.5% | 16.1% | 16.0% | 12.3% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 0.3% |
| Lucas Campbell | 5.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 19.8% | 13.8% | 2.0% |
| Nick Waldo | 10.4% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 6.3% | 0.6% |
| Wes Fleuchaus | 27.4% | 23.3% | 17.3% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Neil Forrester | 8.0% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 18.2% | 14.9% | 8.0% | 0.8% |
| Jacob Waldman | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 15.9% | 21.4% | 19.8% | 2.7% |
| Jaime Russell | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 16.8% | 39.0% | 8.6% |
| Colin Knirk | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 7.2% | 85.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.