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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.36+5.92vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.67+4.01vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.65+3.10vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.44+2.89vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+0.76vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.02-0.91vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.37+3.61vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College1.77+1.03vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.83+0.17vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.74-0.72vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.73-1.47vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.23-4.44vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.02-4.56vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.42-3.38vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.39-4.43vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook-1.66+0.46vs Predicted
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17Boston University-0.31-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.92Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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6.01Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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6.1Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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6.89Bowdoin College2.440.1%1st Place
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5.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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5.09Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
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10.61University of Vermont1.370.0%1st Place
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9.03Eckerd College1.770.1%1st Place
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9.17University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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9.28Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.53Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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7.56Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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8.44Boston College2.020.1%1st Place
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10.62Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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10.57Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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16.46SUNY Stony Brook-1.660.0%1st Place
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14.94Boston University-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Shakin | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Paz | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 11.8% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 13.6% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Brown | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 7.4% | 0.3% |
| Hana Zwick | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Kimberly Morecraft | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Stapp | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Molly Pleskus | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Downey | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Sofia Kirkman | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 5.8% | 0.6% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 7.0% | 0.6% |
| Gaura Mudgal | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 14.5% | 77.7% |
| Hannah Davis | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 50.0% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.