← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College2.44+5.67vs Predicted
-
2Yale University2.67+3.91vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.65+3.12vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.02+1.00vs Predicted
-
5Tufts University2.23+2.39vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+0.10vs Predicted
-
7Boston College2.02+1.40vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University1.74+1.15vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University2.36-1.75vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University1.42+0.40vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont1.37-0.28vs Predicted
-
12Eckerd College1.77-2.82vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island1.83-3.86vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College1.73-4.48vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University1.39-4.39vs Predicted
-
16Boston University-0.31-1.07vs Predicted
-
17SUNY Stony Brook-1.66-0.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.67Bowdoin College2.440.1%1st Place
-
5.91Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
-
6.12Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
-
5.0Brown University3.020.1%1st Place
-
7.39Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
-
6.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
-
8.4Boston College2.020.1%1st Place
-
9.15Fordham University1.740.1%1st Place
-
7.25Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
-
10.4Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
-
10.72University of Vermont1.370.0%1st Place
-
9.18Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
-
9.14University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
-
9.52Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
-
10.61Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
-
14.93Boston University-0.310.0%1st Place
-
16.52SUNY Stony Brook-1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Paz | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 14.7% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 9.6% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Downey | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Amanda Stapp | 5.4% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Kirkman | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 0.5% |
| Samantha Brown | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 7.9% | 0.9% |
| Hana Zwick | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Kimberly Morecraft | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 0.2% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 7.6% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Davis | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 5.8% | 11.3% | 49.4% | 18.6% |
| Gaura Mudgal | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 13.5% | 78.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.