← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.02+3.76vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University2.36+5.04vs Predicted
-
3Connecticut College1.73+6.37vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College2.44+2.91vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University2.65+0.95vs Predicted
-
6Eckerd College1.77+3.45vs Predicted
-
7Yale University2.67-0.97vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island1.83+0.83vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University1.42+1.64vs Predicted
-
10Fordham University1.74-0.72vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University2.23-3.25vs Predicted
-
12Salve Regina University1.39-1.46vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-7.07vs Predicted
-
14Boston College2.02-5.57vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont1.37-4.34vs Predicted
-
16Boston University-0.31-1.07vs Predicted
-
17SUNY Stony Brook-1.66-0.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.76Brown University3.020.2%1st Place
-
7.04Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
-
9.37Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
-
6.91Bowdoin College2.440.1%1st Place
-
5.95Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
-
9.45Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
-
6.03Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
-
8.83University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
-
10.64Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
-
9.28Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
-
7.75Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
-
10.54Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
-
5.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
-
8.43Boston College2.020.0%1st Place
-
10.66University of Vermont1.370.0%1st Place
-
14.93Boston University-0.310.0%1st Place
-
16.52SUNY Stony Brook-1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Hibben | 16.5% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Mary Paz | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 10.4% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hana Zwick | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Morecraft | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Sofia Kirkman | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 7.1% | 1.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 0.1% |
| Molly Pleskus | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 5.8% | 0.9% |
| Annie Hughes | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Downey | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Brown | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 7.4% | 0.8% |
| Hannah Davis | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 49.6% | 18.5% |
| Gaura Mudgal | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 14.6% | 78.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.