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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.36+5.87vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+3.70vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.65+3.06vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.74+5.32vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College1.77+4.02vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.67+0.18vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.23+0.53vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.02-3.16vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.02-0.56vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.21-2.53vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.83-1.89vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.42-1.61vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.37-2.28vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.73-4.57vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.39-4.49vs Predicted
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16Boston University-0.31-1.08vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook-1.66-0.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.87Roger Williams University2.360.1%1st Place
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5.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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6.06Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.32Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.02Eckerd College1.770.0%1st Place
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6.18Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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7.53Tufts University2.230.1%1st Place
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4.84Brown University3.020.2%1st Place
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8.44Boston College2.020.0%1st Place
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7.47Bowdoin College2.210.1%1st Place
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9.11University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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10.39Northeastern University1.420.0%1st Place
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10.72University of Vermont1.370.0%1st Place
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9.43Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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10.51Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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14.92Boston University-0.310.0%1st Place
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16.5SUNY Stony Brook-1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Shakin | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Annie Hughes | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Gavula | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 0.2% |
| Hana Zwick | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 16.5% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Downey | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Catherine Price | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Kimberly Morecraft | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Sofia Kirkman | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 5.4% | 0.9% |
| Samantha Brown | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 6.8% | 1.2% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 0.2% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 15.5% | 6.7% | 0.6% |
| Hannah Davis | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 10.9% | 50.2% | 18.0% |
| Gaura Mudgal | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 3.7% | 13.6% | 77.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.